Fantasy Football Player's Edge

November 16, 2008


Tomorrow: Monday-Recap


Crunch Time: (updated periodically until 1pm EST)

The weather in Pittsburgh & Cincinnati is cold, wet &
blustery. Philip Rivers, coming from the west coast, will
be adversely affected. Roethlisberger and McNabb are
likely to acclimate to the inclemency but could be prone to
turnovers. The Steelers, Eagles and Chargers defenses
will benefit from the conditions. The kickers, Reed, Akers,
Graham & Kaeding should be avoided if possible.

Add New York to the tough weather conditions. The winds
are swirling at 25-35 mph. The kicking and passing games
are certain to be affected. Mason, Burress, Steve Smith,
Eli Manning, Stover and Tynes may struggle. Both the
Ravens and Giants defenses should be able to shutdown
the rival offenses.

Daunte Culpepper will start vs. a Panthers secondary
that has allowed only 5.5 ypa and 7 TD's on the season.
Look elsewhere for help at QB.

Kyle Orton is expected to start vs. the Packers. He is
not a particularly good play vs. a secondary that allows
5.4 ypa.

JaMarcus Russell and Darren McFadden are active.
Russell could be started as a last resort as the Dolphins
are soft in the secondary. McFadden is not a great play
as Miami has a stout run defense.

Cedric Benson will start but is a marginal play vs. the
Eagles.

NFL network reports that Larry Johnson will only get
10-15 carries vs. the Saints. That certainly would put a
cap on expectations but if Johnson gets hot the totes
will follow.

Peyton Hillis will start as tailback for the Broncos as
Selvin Young is out with a groin injury. The Falcons
yield a generous 4.9 ypc. Hillis is playable if you're in
a bind.

Clinton Portis is very questionable for the Cowboys
tonight. If you're going gamble on his availability grab
Ladell Betts as insurance.

Champ Bailey will be a game time decision as he tries
to return from a groin injury. Roddy White is likely to
have an enormous day if Champ is sidelined. White is
a must start even if Bailey plays.

Colts Bob Sanders is inactive for the Texans contest.
Steve Slaton gets an upgrade as the Colts run defense
is way below average without Bob in the mix.


It's in the Stars:

Luminous: (5 Stars)

QB:
J. Delhomme
D. Brees
P. Manning
K. Warner

RB:
M. Turner
D. Williams
M. Forte
F. Gore

WR:
S. Smith (Car)
R. White
M. Colston
D. Bowe
R. Wayne
L. Fitzgerald
A. Boldin

TE:
Da. Clark
T. Gonzalez

K:
M. Prater
N. Rackers

DEF:
Philadelphia
Carolina
Miami

Glowing: (4 Stars)

QB:
J. Cutler
M. Ryan
K. Orton
A. Rodgers
D. McNabb
T. Thigpen
M. Hasselbeck
T. Edwards
S. Hill

RB:
A. Peterson
R. Bush
Ch. Johnson
L. White
B. Westbrook
L. Johnson
J. Addai
C. Portis
M. Lynch

WR:
L. Evans
B. Marshall
E. Royal
M. Jenkins
M. Muhammad
L. Moore
D. Henderson
A. Gonzalez
M. Harrison
B. Engram
S. Breaston
J. Hill

TE:
T. Scheffler
Z. Miller
B. Scaife
J. Shockey
K. Winslow
J. Carlson

K:
J. Elam
R. Bironas
G. Hartley
K. Brown
A. Vinatieri
J. Kasay
J. Nedney

DEF:
Tennessee
Pittsburgh

Bright: (3 Stars)

QB:
J. Russell
A. Walter
C. Pennington
E. Manning
J. Garcia
K. Collins
R. Grossman
B. Quinn
M. Bulger
B. Roethlisberger

RB:
J. Stewart
T. Hightower
D. McAllister
P. Hillis
R. Williams
W. McGahee
M. Jones-Drew
R. Grant
S. Slaton
D. Rhodes
J. Jones
S. Jackson
W. Parker
M. Moore
L. Tomlinson
M. Barber
R. Cartwright
J. Lewis

WR:
Ca. Johnson
T. Holt
R. Parrish
T. Ginn
P. Burress
Re. Brown
K. Curtis
Br. Johnson
J. Walker
G. Camarillo
J. Galloway
An. Bryant
J. Gage
G. Jennings
D. Driver
De. Jackson
A. Johnson
D. Branch
B. Edwards
T. Owens
H. Ward
S. Holmes
N. Washington

TE:
B. Miller
R. Royal
M. Spaeth
V. Davis
A. Fasano
Al. Smith
L.J. Smith
L. Pope
A. Gates
J. Witten
C. Cooley

K:
R. Lindell
D. Anderson
J. Reed
M. Bryant
R. Gould
M. Crosby
D. Akers
C. Barth
O. Mare
J. Brown
N. Folk
S. Suisham
P. Dawson

DEF:
Baltimore
Buffalo
Indianaplois
New York Giants
Arizona
Tampa Bay
Minnesota
Chicago
New Orleans
San Francisco
Dallas
Washington

Diminished: (2 Stars)

QB:
D. Culpepper
J. Flacco
G. Frerotte
D. Garrard
S. Rosenfels
P. Rivers
T. Romo
J. Campbell

RB:
J. Fargas
D. McFadden
R. Rice
L. McClain
B. Jacobs
C. Taylor
W. Dunn
E. Graham
F. Taylor
Ke. Smith
C. Benson
M. Morris
A. Pittman
S. Alexander

WR:
B. Berrian
D. Mason
J. Porter
M. Walker
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Ch. Johnson
K. Walter
D. Avery
C. Chambers
V. Jackson
P. Crayton
Ro. Williams
S. Moss
M. Floyd
A. Randle El

TE:
T. Heap
G. Olsen
De. Clark
V. Shiancoe
K. Boss
M. Lewis
D. Rosario
D. Lee
O. Daniels

K:
L. Tynes
M. Stover
S. Janikowski
R. Longwell
J. Scobee
S. Graham
N. Kaeding

DEF:
Houston
Atlanta
Seattle
Oakland
Denver
Jacksonville
Green Bay
Cincinnati
San Diego
Cleveland

Dull: (1 Star)

QB:
R. Fitzpatrick
D. Stanton

RB:
D. Ward
Cad. Williams
Ru. Johnson
E. James

WR:
B. Lloyd
D. Hester
Toomer
S. Smith (NYG)
S. McDonald

TE:
J. Peelle
B. Utecht
J. Klopfenstein

K:
J. Hansen

DEF:
Kansas City
Detroit
St. Louis


Start/Sit: (Week 11)

1. QB's: Matchups

The Standard: 300 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int = 20 points

Favorable:

Jake Delhomme- is coming off an awful game against the
Raiders. He faces a porous Lions secondary that yields an
NFL worst 9.1 ypa and 15 TD's in 9 games.

Matt Ryan- has the good fortune to welcome the Broncos
to the Georgia Dome. Denver's dreadful pass defense has
yielded 7.2 ypa and 14 TD's. Shutdown CB Champ Bailey is
still questionable with a groin strain.

Trent Edwards- has a chance at redemption when he faces
the Browns on Monday night. Cleveland's secondary has
allowed 7.6 ypa and 12 TD's.

Good Bet: Warner vs. Seahawks, Brees vs. Chiefs
Favre vs. Patriots, P. Manning vs. Texans
Hasselbeck vs. Cards, Collins vs. Jaguars


Unfavorable:

Philip Rivers- has the unenviable task of challenging the
Steelers defense which is the stingiest in the NFL allowing
only 4.8 ypa.

David Garrard- has a very tough matchup vs the Titans
which boasts a pass defense that has allowed 5.4 ypa and
a meager 5 TD's.

Joe Flacco- this young gun will face intense pressure from
the Giants which hold enemy signal callers to 5.8 ypa with
30 sacks in 9 games.

Bad Bet: Orton vs. Packers, Culpepper vs. Panthers
Romo vs. Redskins


2. RB's: Matchups (starting a #2)

The Standard: 110 yards rush, 30 yards rec, 1 TD = 20 pts

Favorable:

Michael Turner- has a favorable matchup vs. Denver
which yields an abysmal 5.1 ypc. Turner has exploited
soft run defenses all season.

Matt Forte- faces a porous Packers run defense that
has lost middle linebacker Nick Barnett. Green Bay
already allows 5.0 ypc and it could get worse.

D'Angelo Williams- runs against a soft Lions interior
defense which has granted 4.7 ypc and 14 TD's.

Good Bet: Lynch vs. Browns, Addai vs. Texans
Brown vs. Raiders, R. Bush vs. Chiefs


Unfavorable: (sitting a #2)

Brandon Jacobs- this is all about inertia as Jacobs is
a battering ram & the Ravens are staunch upfront. This
is where irresistible force meets an immovable object.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis- the Jets stop the run. They
allow only 3.2 ypc. Lamont Jordan may also be in the
mix on Thursday night further mitigating Green-Ellis'
value.

Ryan Grant- has been rounding into form but faces a
stout Bears interior defense that allows only 3.1 ypc.
The Packers may have to rely on their passing game.

Bad Bet: Tomlinson vs. Steelers, Barber vs. Redskins
Graham vs. Vikings, S. Jackson vs. 49ers


3. WR's: Matchups

The Standard: 80 yards, 1 TD = 14 points

Favorable: (starting a #3)

Lee Evans- should have a rebound effort against a soft
Browns secondary.

Dwayne Bowe- has a great matchup vs the Saints &
has developed a strong chemistry with Thigpen.

Muhsin Muhammad- should be the beneficiary of a
rebound by QB Delhomme vs. a weak Lions defense.

Good Bet: Breaston vs. Seahawks, A. Gonzalez vs. Texans,
Engram vs. Cards, Coles vs. Patriots, Morgan vs. Rams


Unfavorable: (sitting a #3)

Derrick Mason- played in pain with a shoulder issue vs.
the Texans. The pain will continue against a smothering
Giants pass defense.

Chris Chambers- was basically a decoy vs. the Chiefs.
The Steelers will relegate Chambers to decoy status
again on Sunday.

Matt Jones- this would be a good week to start serving
his impending suspension rather than facing the Titans
secondary.

Bad Bet: V. Jackson vs. Steelers, Hester vs. Packers
Crayton vs. Redskins, McDonald vs. Panthers


4. TE's: Matchups

The Standard- 40 yards, .3 TD = 6 points

Favorable:

John Carlson- Hasselbeck is likely to want to air it out
vs. the Cards. Carlson will be targeted.

Bo Scaife- will be a complimentary part of the Titans ball
control game plan against the Jaguars.

Zach Miller- likely to have a major role in an awful Raiders
offense against a generous Dolphins pass defense.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Browns, B. Miller vs. Chiefs
Keller vs. Patriots


Unfavorable:

Kevin Boss- will struggle against Ed Reed & the rest of his
Ravens buddies.

Greg Olsen- the Packers secondary might be the best in
football forcing the Bears to exploit their weak run defense.

Marcedes Lewis- will have to pass protect vs. the Titans
front 7, limiting his looks.

Bad Bet: Gates vs. Steelers, Witten vs. Redskins
Heap vs. Giants


5. K's: Matchups

The Standard- 2 FG's, 1/40+, 3 Pat's = 10 points

Favorable:

Adam Vinatieri- the Colts offense will score early and
often vs. the Texans.

Matt Prater- has the strongest leg in football & kicks on
the carpet in Atlanta on Sunday.

Joe Nedney- should have plenty of opportunities as the
49ers move the ball at will vs. the Rams.

Good Bet: Kasay vs. Lions, Rackers vs. Seahawks


Unfavorable:

Josh Scobee- the Titans defense is unyielding allowing
a league best 13 ppg.

Nate Kaeding- the Chargers will be hitting a stone wall
in Pittsburgh, a notoriously tough place to kick.

Sebastien Janikowski- will not get many chances against
the Dolphins.

Bad Bet: Carney vs. Ravens, Longwell vs. Bucs


6. DEF's: Matchups

The Standard- 13 points allowed, 3 turnovers, 2 sacks = 12 pts

Favorable:

Philadelphia- will take out last week's frustration vs.
the Giants on the Fitzpatrick led Bengals.

Carolina- has a home date with a Lions team that is
winless. The Panthers should be able to control the line
of scrimmage forcing Culpepper/Stanton into mistakes
in the passing game.

Miami- it's their turn to score heavily vs. the Raiders.

Good Bet: San Francisco vs. Rams, Baltimore vs. Giants
New York Giants vs. Ravens


Unfavorable:

Chicago- the Packers strength stacks up well against
a recently exposed weakness in the Bears pass defense.
Rodgers & co. will exploit Chicago's secondary.

Jacksonville- has struggled vs. robust rushing attacks.
The Titans will put the hammer down on Sunday.

Green Bay- has a soft run defense that will be exploited
by Forte and the Bears offensive coaching staff.

Bad Bet: San Diego vs. Steelers, Jets vs. Patriots


Van Winkles: (deep sleepers)

Shaun Hill- is a serviceable backup who is capable of
taking advantage of a St. Louis pass defense that has
given an astounding 8.2 ypa and 13 TD's.

Peyton Hillis- the bulky fullback will play tailback & is
likely get 10+ carries & 5 balls in the passing game vs.
the Falcons. Atlanta allows a generous 4.9 ypc & will
not be able to stack the box against Cutler, Marshall
and Royal.

Michael Jenkins- teams are becoming obsessed with
stopping the Matt Ryan-Roddy White tandem. That
defensive scheme will create open looks for Jenkins.
The Broncos secondary is awful allowing 7.2 ypa &
14 TD's. Compounding their woes, Denver is likely to
be without shutdown CB Champ Bailey who's dealing
with a groin injury.

Bobby Engram- should be involved in a shootout with
Warner & the Cards. Hasselbeck is likely to return to
action but all bets would be off if Matt sits. Arizona
offers little resistance in the passing game allowing 7.0
ypa and a league worst 18 aerial TD's.

Jason Hill- is a frequent target and will benefit from
the absence of rookie Josh Morgan. He's a possession
receiver that Martz will utilize well against the Rams.

Billy Miller- Shockey has a swollen ankle & ego. He
is leaving the door open for Miller to get more snaps
even if Shockey plays. Miller would get an upgrade
if Jeremy sits. The Chiefs allow 7.7 ypa.

No He Didn't:

Andrew Walter- faces a Miami defense that will shut
down the Raiders running game. Walter may have to
throw 25+ times in this one and could post 10+ points.
JaMarcus Russell would be a better long shot if he
plays.


All Done!

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