Friday, November 7, 2008

Fantasy Football Player's Edge

November 7, 2008


The key to winning your league revolves
around
matchups and the injury status of key players.
The Player's Edge
is the best source for timely
and comprehensive information and advice on
who to start, who to sit and why.



Tomorrow: Walking Wounded (revised/updated)


Thursday: Recap

Broncos 34/Browns 30- Jay Cutler (31) had an
amazing night as did Royal (22), Marshall (14) &
Scheffler (9). Ryan Torain (12) and Selvin Young
(0) were injured in the 1st half. TE Graham (11) had
a score. Quinn (17) had a successful debut targeting
Winslow (21) early and often. Braylon Edwards (1)
continues to disappoint. Jamal Lewis (12) had a TD.


Week 10 News: (Daily Updates)

Vernon Davis
will continue to start for the 49ers
and has a decent matchup vs. the
Cards. He's been
a major disappointment this season but could make
amends on Sunday.


Bye Week: Cowboys, Bucs, Redskins, Bengals


Van Winkles: (deep sleepers)

Shaun Hill-
is a serviceable backup who should be able
to take advantage of an Arizona
defense that has given
7.2 ypa and a league high 16 TD's.


Le'Ron McClain- Rice & McGahee have been limited in
practice due to injuries leaving open the possibility that

McClain
will get extra carries to augment his goal line
work.


Kevin Smith- faces a Jacksonville defense that allows
4.5 ypc and may be without DT
John Henderson.

Roscoe Parrish- has a solid matchup vs. a soft Patriots
secondary that yields 7.5 ypa. Lee Evans will get doubled
giving Parrish ample opportunity to shine.

Josh Morgan- the rookie dropped a pass in Singletary's
debut as 49ers head coach and was disciplined by having
limited snaps. The week prior Morgan had a big game vs
the Giants and should replicate that performance against
the Cards.

No He Didn't:

Seneca Wallace-
faces a Dolphins defense that will shut
down the Seahawks running game. Wallace may have to
throw 35+ times in this one and could post 12+ points.


Start/Sit: (Week 10)

1. QB's: Matchups

The Standard: 300 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int = 20 points

Favorable:

Trent Edwards-
has not been right since returning from a
concussion but has a solid matchup against the Patriots
secondary which has allowed 7.5 ypa and 13 TD's. This is
a must win game for the Bills on the road against a division
foe so look for Edwards to step up.

Brett Favre- lines up against a Rams secondary that has
been abused all season allowing 8.2 ypa and 12 TD's. All of
the Jets skill players get an upgrade this week.


David Garrard- will have his #1 receiver, Jerry Porter, as
an integral part of the game plan. Detroit is
awful having
yielded a league worse 8.5 ypa and 13 TD's.


Good Bet: Flacco vs. Texans, Cutler vs. Browns
Rivers
vs. Chiefs, Pennington vs. Seahawks
Quinn
vs. Broncos, Delhomme vs. Raiders


Unfavorable:

Peyton Manning-
has the unenviable task of throwing
vs. the Steelers defense which allows a league stingiest
4.7 ypa. He's a start but is likely to struggle to produce
a double digit performance.

Donovan McNabb- has played better recently but sees
a
Giants defense that yields only 5.9 ypa and features a
ferocious pass rush. McNabb was sacked 12 times in a
game against New York last season.

Gus Frerotte- faces what might be the best secondary
in the NFL. The Packers allow 5.5 ypa & will give Gus,
Berrian
and company fits.

Bad Bet: Collins vs. Bears, Grossman vs. Titans
Rosenfels
vs. Ravens, Rodgers vs. Vikings


2. RB's: Matchups
(starting a #2)

The Standard:
110 yards rush, 30 yards rec, 1 TD = 20 pts

Favorable:

Jamal Lewis- faces a Broncos defense that allows 5.1
ypc. Lewis is likely to be featured to take the pressure
off Brady Quinn.

Thomas Jones- has been on a roll of late which is likely
to continue against a porous Rams defense which allows
4.9 ypc and 12 rushing TD's.

Deuce McAllister- has a good matchup vs. the Falcons
rush defense which allows 4.7 ypc.

Good Bet: Torain vs. Browns, Jones-Drew vs. Lions
Rice
vs. Texans, D. Williams vs. Raiders


Unfavorable:
(sitting a #2)

Joseph Addai- rushes a Steelers defense that limited
Portis
to 51 yards on the ground and allows a scant 2.9
ypc and 3 rushing TD's on the season

Steve Slaton- has a bad matchup vs. the Ravens rush
defense which holds RB's to 2.8 ypc. He may have some
chances in the passing game but is a risky play.

Ryan Grant- has been rounding into form but faces a
stout Vikings interior defense that allows only 3.0 ypc.
The Packers will rely on their solid passing game.

Bad Bet: Jackson vs. Jets, Jacobs vs. Eagles
Ch. Johnson
vs. Bears, Hightower vs. 49ers


3. WR's: Matchups

The Standard: 80 yards, 1 TD = 14 points

Favorable:
(starting a #3)

Laveranues Coles- will have lots of open looks against
a soft Rams secondary.

Derrick Mason- has a solid matchup vs. the Texans
and has built excellent rapport with Flacco.

Muhsin Muhammad- the Raiders will shadow Steve
Smith leaving Muhsin single covered against a backline
that yields 7.1 ypa.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Browns, Evans vs. Patriots,
V. Jackson
vs. Chiefs, Camarillo vs. Seahawks


Unfavorable: (sitting a #3)

Anthony Gonzalez- will be blanketed by a smothering
Steelers secondary especially after his 2 TD's last week
vs. the Patriots.

DeSean Jackson- seems to be McNabb's third option
with Curtis & Reggie Brown both active. The Giants
are tough allowing only 5.9 ypa so diminishing looks will
work against Jackson.

Bernard Berrian- will draw the attention of shutdown
corner Charles Woodson. The Packers yield only 5.5
ypa and have CB Al Harris back on the field.

Bad Bet: Walter vs. Ravens, Hester vs. Titans
Gage
vs. Bears, Harrison vs. Steelers


4. TE's: Matchups

The Standard- 40 yards, .3 TD = 6 points

Favorable:

John Carlson-
the Dolphins will force Wallace to pass
and Carlson is likely to be targeted often.

Tony Scheffler- has been plagued by a groin injury but
has a solid matchup vs. Cleveland if he's plays.

Anthony Fasano- the Seahawks offer little resistance
in the passing game.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Patriots, Winslow vs. Broncos
Baker
vs. Rams, Lewis vs. Lions


Unfavorable:

Owen Daniels-
will struggle vs. Ed Reed and the rest of
his Ravens buddies.

Bo Scaife-
the Bears will swarm all over Collins' primary
target.

Dallas Clark- the Steelers have the best pass defense in
football and will make life miserable for all of the Colts skill
players.

Bad Bet: Shiancoe vs. Packers, Olsen vs. Titans


5. K's: Matchups

The Standard- 2 FG's, 1/40+, 3 Pat's = 10 points

Favorable:

Nate Kaeding-
the Chargers offense will score early
and often vs. the Chiefs.

Matt Prater- has the strongest leg in football & kicks in
Cleveland on Thursday night. The weather is expected
to be unseasonably warm with light winds.

Josh Scobee- should have plenty of opportunities as the
Jaguars
move the ball at will vs. the Lions.

Good Bet: Feely vs. Rams, Crosby vs. Vikings
Rackers
vs. 49ers


Unfavorable:

Robbie Gould-
the Titans defense is stingy yielding a
league best 12.4 ppg and the Bears are starting Rex
Grossman at QB.

Jeff Akers- the Giants/Eagles war on Sunday night
shapes up to be a hard hitting, low scoring affair.

Sebastien Janikowski- will not get many chances vs.
the Panthers.

Bad Bet: Vinatieri vs. Steelers, Carney vs. Eagles


6. DEF's: Matchups

The Standard- 13 points allowed, 3 turnovers, 2 sacks = 12 pts

Favorable:

Tennessee-
faces backup QB Grossman who is prone
to turnovers and sacks. The Bears will feature RB Forte
but will eventually have to put the game in Rex's hands
giving the Titans a chance to capitalize on his mistakes.

Carolina- the Falcons shutout the Raiders & are not
nearly as formidable as the Panthers.

Miami- will stuff the run forcing Seahawks Seneca
Wallace
to throw often creating turnover possibilities.

Good Bet: San Diego vs. Chiefs


Unfavorable:

Minnesota-
the Packers strength stacks up well vs.
the weakness in the Vikings defense. Rodgers & co.
will exploit Minnesota's secondary.

New England- faces a Bills offense that has a great
deal to prove. Trent Edwards will be able to exploit
a Patriots backline that allows 7.5 ypa and has yielded
13 TD's over the top.

Pittsburgh-
faces Manning and the Colts who have
limited turnovers all season. Manning will get the ball
out of his hands quickly reducing sack opportunities.

Bad Bet: San Francisco vs. Cards, Buffalo vs. Patriots



The Walking Wounded: (November 6th)

Daunte Culpepper may start for the Lions against
the Bears as Dan Orlovsky deals with a wrist injury.
This is a tough matchup for any QB especially a rusty
one. With that said, Calvin Johnson could eventually
be the beneficiary of a strong armed passer. Daunte
might be worth a flier as the Lions play the Colts &
Saints in fantasy playoff weeks 15 and 16.


Matt Hasselbeck
may return to practice but is very
unlikely
to play vs. Miami. Seneca Wallace will get
the start and
could be a spot play in a dire emergency.
Hasselbeck is expected to return vs. the Cards on
November 16th.

Matt Schaub is out for a few weeks with a torn MCL.
Sage Rosenfels is a quality backup QB and could be
started when the matchups are favorable. He faces a
Ravens secondary that has been decimated but wait
for Saturday's Walking Wounded before deciding on
Sage
as your starting QB.

Ben Roethlisberger may have to relinquish the QB
job to Byron Leftwich due to a sore right shoulder.
Leftwich would face the Colts and would not be a
great play.

Kyle Orton has no significant ligament damage & has
not ruled out playing vs. Titans. Rex Grossman gets
the start if Orton sits but is not a viable option.

Selvin Young was limited in practice with a sore groin.
Ryan Torain is the likely choice to get the bulk of the
carries on Thursday night, however, Shanahan has a
way of doing the unexpected with RB's. Tread carefully.

Kenneth Darby & Samkon Gado could be the Rams
RB's vs. the Jets. Steven Jackson, Antonio Pittman
and Travis Minor are questionable. Only S-Jax would
be playable against a run defense that allows only 3.1
ypc.

Ray Rice has a chance to start as Willis McGahee deals
with assorted nagging injuries. Rice would be a great play
vs. the Texans if he gets the call.

Brian Westbrook was limited in practice as a precaution.
He'll be ready for the Giants on Sunday night.

Darren McFadden is day to day with 2 turf toe injuries.
He would not an advisable play, if healthy, against a stout
Panthers run defense.

Jonathan Stewart missed practice with a sore heel and
is questionable for the Raiders.

Sammy Morris
missed practice with a groin injury while
LaMont Jordan
was limited due to a calf injury. Faulk
and Green-Ellis will split carries if Morris and Jordan
remain sidelined.

Larry Fitzgerald was limited in practice as he nurses a
sore thumb. He's expected to play against the 49ers.

Jerry Porter seems to be fully recovered from a season
long hamstring strain. The Jaguars advise that Porter
will have a larger role in the offense. He has a great start
vs. the Lions secondary.

Mike Walker practiced fully and if he plays would give
Garrard
a full compliment of offensive weapons to use
vs. the Lions.

Randy Moss
took it easy in practice as he deals with a
sore foot. He's expected to start against the Bills.

Deion Branch is going to test the heel injury at practice
and could play this week. He would be usuable as a #3
but only as a last resort vs. a Dolphins secondary that
allows 7.5 ypa.

Hines Ward is day to day with a sore shoulder but will
play against the Colts.

Donte Stallworth
is limited in practice & should not be
trusted on Thursday night vs. the Broncos even if he's
active.

Brandon Lloyd practiced fully and should play for the
Bears vs. the Titans. Marty Booker missed practice
with a sore knee. Neither WR would be a good play this
week.

Tony Scheffler is still limited by a groin injury and very
questionable to play vs. the Browns. Look elsewhere for
a TE this week.

Jeremy Shockey practiced fully and should start against
the Falcons.

L.J.Smith
has returned to action from a concussion & is
expected to start against the Giants.

Kevin Boss sprained an anke and is questionable for the
Eagles.

Heath Miller
is doubtful for the Colts due to a sore ankle.
Matt Spaeth would start and is marginally usable.

Vikings DE Jared Allen may miss the Packers game. He
has a shoulder seperation. Rodgers would benefit greatly
if Allen has to sit.

Browns NT Shaun Rogers has been limited in practice by
sore ribs. Torain and/or Selvin Young get a huge upgrade
if Rogers is out.

Jaguars DT John Henderson has a sprained MCL and may
miss the Lions game. Kevin Smith would get an upgrade
to playable if big John is inactive.

Browns elite G Eric Steinbach sat out practice with sore
ribs. The Broncos defense is awful against the run so they
would get a bit of relief if Steinbach has to sit. Jamal Lewis
is a solid play, on Thursday night, in any event.

Matt Schobel is out this week and may miss the rest of the
season with a foot injury. Matt Cassel will have more time
without Schobel bearing down on his blind side.



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