Monday, November 10, 2008

Fantasy Football Player's Edge

November 10, 2008


Tomorrow: Notes From The Edge


Monday: Recap

Patriots 20/Bills 10- BenJarvus Green-Ellis
(16) had
a big day at the expense of Kevin Faulk (0). Cassel (15)
had a rushing TD while Welker (10) had 10 catches. Moss
(5) was quiet. Edwards (6), Lynch (4) & Evans (2) were
neutralized by a solid Patriots (10) defense.

Jets 47/Rams 3- Thomas Jones
(32) ran with abandon.
Farve
(10), Cotchery (1) & Coles (1) were not needed. TE
Dustin Keller
(16) had a score. Not a single Ram is worthy
of mention as the Jets (25) defense manhandled them.

Jaguars 38/Lions 14- Maurice Jones-Drew
(27) abused
the Lions (-3) defense. Garrard (18) was solid while Taylor
(9), Porter (9), Matt Jones (6) & TE Lewis (6) came to the
party.
Kevin Smith (17) had a score while Calvin Johnson
(9) had yards. Culpepper (3) was pedestrian. McDonald
(3) was not a factor. The Jaguars (12) had 7 sacks.

Titans 21/Bears 14- Kerry Collins
(19) threw effectively
as Scaife (13), Gage (10) and Brandon Jones (8) were the
beneficiaries. White (7) had a score while Chris Johnson (1)
had a rough outing. Forte (18) was fantastic while Grossman
(15), Hester (5) and Olsen (4) were serviceable as bye week
plays. The Titans (7) and Bears (3) defenses disappointed.

Ravens 41/Texans 13- McGahee (23) got hot and Rice (1)
was left out in the cold. Flacco (17) was useful while Heap
(17) had a breakout game. Mason (6) had a 2 pt. conversion.
Slaton (1) was snuffed out while Walter (14) had a long score
from Rosenfels (12) and Andre Johnson (6) had yards. The
Ravens (16) had 4 interceptions.

Falcons 34/Saints 20- Matt Ryan (17) and Roddy White
(12) are quite the couple with Turner (15) and Norwood (15)
marching in the parade. Jenkins (7) was solid. Brees (22) was
awful in reality but superb in fantasy. Colston (14) had targets
while Moore (13) and McAllister (9) had late TD passes. TE
Miller (6) and Henderson (6) chimed in while Shockey (1)
was surly. The Falcons (14) defense had a score.

Vikings 28/Packers 27- Peterson (28) ran wild. Frerotte
(11) was erratic as Berrian (0) was held without a catch. RB
Chester Taylor (16) caught a long TD pass. Grant (13) has
returned to form but Rodgers (5), Driver (4) and Jennings
(3) were stymied. The Packers defense (14) had a TD while
the Vikings defense (8) kept pace.

Dolphins 21/Seahawks 19- Ricky Williams (18) stole the
show from Ronnie Brown (11). Ginn (12) caught a bomb from
Pennington
(11). Camarillo (2) & TE Fasano (1) were quiet.
Julius Jones (8) ran hard against a stout Dolphins (7) front 7.
Wallace
(11) and Engram (6) were on the same page & Koren
Robinson
(9) had a TD. TE John Carlson (5) had 5 catches.
The Seahawks (10) D scored.

Panthers 17/Raiders 6- D'Angelo Williams (20) was very
good while Delhomme (2) was very bad taking Steve Smith
(0) with him. Muhammad (3) & Stewart (2) were also stifled.
Fargas (8), Michael Bush (7) and TE Zach Miller (4) were
the bright spots as the Panthers (18) defense smothered the
Raiders.

Colts 24/Steelers 20- Manning
(21) was terrific against a
tenacious Steelers (2) defense. Wayne (17), Rhodes (10),
Clark (8) had touchdown receptions. Addai (4) continues to
underachieve. Harrison (3) & Gonzalez (2) were not able
to make meaningful contributions. Roethlisberger (8) was
awful but Mewelde Moore (21) and Hines Ward (11) had
nice games. Holmes (2) and Washington (3) were held in
check by an aggressive Colts (9) secondary.

Chargers 20/Chiefs 19- Philip Rivers (18) tossed 2 TD's.
Tomlinson (10) is still struggling. Gates (12) and Floyd (13)
caught TD's. Vincent Jackson (8) had the looks while Chris
Chambers (0) was basically a decoy. Tyler Thigpen (24) is
becoming a plausible option at QB and stung the Chargers (2)
defense for 3 scoring strikes. Tony Gonzalez (23) caught 2
touchdowns while Bowe (7) had 6 catches. Charles (0) hurt
his knee and was replaced by 4th string RB Dantrell Savage
(4).

Giants 36/Eagles 31- Brandon Jacobs (22) ran effectively.
Eli Manning (14) connected with TE Boss (12) and Burress
(7) for TD's. Ward (7) and Toomer (5) were useful. McNabb
(21) hooked up with Curtis (8), Avant (8) & Baskett (6) for
scores. DeSean Jackson (14) had a rushing touchdown while
Westbrook (5) was held in check. The Giants (3) and Eagles
(1) defenses were shredded.


Quick Picks: (free agents to acquire)
B. Quinn
T. Thigpen
M. Jenkins
J. Porter
B. Scaife
T. Heap
K. Boss

Castaways: (waiver candidates)
J. Charles
R. Torain
M. Bulger
T. Holt

Hard Knocks: (injury notes)
Fr. Jackson- leg
S. Young- groin
R. Torain- knee
W. Parker- shoulder
J. Charles- ankle
M. Harrison- head
Ma. Jones- thigh
Ad. Thomas- arm


Start/Sit: (Week 10)

1. QB's: Matchups

The Standard: 300 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int = 20 points

Favorable:

Trent Edwards-
has not been right since returning from a
concussion but has a solid matchup against the Patriots
secondary which has allowed 7.5 ypa and 13 TD's. This is
a must win game for the Bills on the road against a division
foe so look for Edwards to step up.

Brett Favre- lines up against a Rams secondary that has
been abused all season allowing 8.2 ypa and 12 TD's. All of
the Jets skill players get an upgrade this week.


David Garrard- will have his #1 receiver, Jerry Porter, as
an integral part of the game plan. Detroit is
awful having
yielded a league worse 8.5 ypa and 13 TD's.


Good Bet: Flacco vs. Texans, Cutler vs. Browns
Rivers
vs. Chiefs, Pennington vs. Seahawks
Quinn
vs. Broncos, Delhomme vs. Raiders


Unfavorable:

Peyton Manning-
has the unenviable task of throwing
vs. the Steelers defense which allows a league stingiest
4.7 ypa. He's a start but is likely to struggle to produce
a double digit performance.

Donovan McNabb- has played better recently but sees
a
Giants defense that yields only 5.9 ypa and features a
ferocious pass rush. McNabb was sacked 12 times in a
game against New York last season.

Gus Frerotte- faces what might be the best secondary
in the NFL. The Packers allow 5.5 ypa & will give Gus,
Berrian
and company fits.

Bad Bet: Collins vs. Bears, Grossman vs. Titans
Rosenfels
vs. Ravens, Rodgers vs. Vikings


2. RB's: Matchups
(starting a #2)

The Standard:
110 yards rush, 30 yards rec, 1 TD = 20 pts

Favorable:

Jamal Lewis- faces a Broncos defense that allows 5.1
ypc. Lewis is likely to be featured to take the pressure
off Brady Quinn.

Thomas Jones- has been on a roll of late which is likely
to continue against a porous Rams defense which allows
4.9 ypc and 12 rushing TD's.

Deuce McAllister- has a good matchup vs. the Falcons
rush defense which allows 4.7 ypc.

Good Bet: Torain vs. Browns, Jones-Drew vs. Lions
Rice
vs. Texans, D. Williams vs. Raiders


Unfavorable:
(sitting a #2)

Joseph Addai- rushes a Steelers defense that limited
Portis
to 51 yards on the ground and allows a scant 2.9
ypc and 3 rushing TD's on the season

Steve Slaton- has a bad matchup vs. the Ravens rush
defense which holds RB's to 2.8 ypc. He may have some
chances in the passing game but is a risky play.

Ryan Grant- has been rounding into form but faces a
stout Vikings interior defense that allows only 3.0 ypc.
The Packers will rely on their solid passing game.

Bad Bet: Jackson vs. Jets, Jacobs vs. Eagles
Ch. Johnson
vs. Bears, Hightower vs. 49ers


3. WR's: Matchups

The Standard: 80 yards, 1 TD = 14 points

Favorable:
(starting a #3)

Laveranues Coles- will have lots of open looks against
a soft Rams secondary.

Derrick Mason- has a solid matchup vs. the Texans
and has built excellent rapport with Flacco.

Muhsin Muhammad- the Raiders will shadow Steve
Smith leaving Muhsin single covered against a backline
that yields 7.1 ypa.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Browns, Evans vs. Patriots,
V. Jackson
vs. Chiefs, Camarillo vs. Seahawks


Unfavorable: (sitting a #3)

Anthony Gonzalez- will be blanketed by a smothering
Steelers secondary especially after his 2 TD's last week
vs. the Patriots.

DeSean Jackson- seems to be McNabb's third option
with Curtis & Reggie Brown both active. The Giants
are tough allowing only 5.9 ypa so diminishing looks will
work against Jackson.

Bernard Berrian- will draw the attention of shutdown
corner Charles Woodson. The Packers yield only 5.5
ypa and have CB Al Harris back on the field.

Bad Bet: Walter vs. Ravens, Hester vs. Titans
Gage
vs. Bears, Harrison vs. Steelers


4. TE's: Matchups

The Standard- 40 yards, .3 TD = 6 points

Favorable:

John Carlson-
the Dolphins will force Wallace to pass
and Carlson is likely to be targeted often.

Tony Scheffler- has been plagued by a groin injury but
has a solid matchup vs. Cleveland if he's plays.

Anthony Fasano- the Seahawks offer little resistance
in the passing game.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Patriots, Winslow vs. Broncos
Baker
vs. Rams, Lewis vs. Lions


Unfavorable:

Owen Daniels-
will struggle vs. Ed Reed and the rest of
his Ravens buddies.

Bo Scaife-
the Bears will swarm all over Collins' primary
target.

Dallas Clark- the Steelers have the best pass defense in
football and will make life miserable for all of the Colts skill
players.

Bad Bet: Shiancoe vs. Packers, Olsen vs. Titans


5. K's: Matchups

The Standard- 2 FG's, 1/40+, 3 Pat's = 10 points

Favorable:

Nate Kaeding-
the Chargers offense will score early
and often vs. the Chiefs.

Matt Prater- has the strongest leg in football & kicks in
Cleveland on Thursday night. The weather is expected
to be unseasonably warm with light winds.

Josh Scobee- should have plenty of opportunities as the
Jaguars
move the ball at will vs. the Lions.

Good Bet: Feely vs. Rams, Crosby vs. Vikings
Rackers
vs. 49ers


Unfavorable:

Robbie Gould-
the Titans defense is stingy yielding a
league best 12.4 ppg and the Bears are starting Rex
Grossman at QB.

Jeff Akers- the Giants/Eagles war on Sunday night
shapes up to be a hard hitting, low scoring affair.

Sebastien Janikowski- will not get many chances vs.
the Panthers.

Bad Bet: Vinatieri vs. Steelers, Carney vs. Eagles


6. DEF's: Matchups

The Standard- 13 points allowed, 3 turnovers, 2 sacks = 12 pts

Favorable:

Tennessee-
faces backup QB Grossman who is prone
to turnovers and sacks. The Bears will feature RB Forte
but will eventually have to put the game in Rex's hands
giving the Titans a chance to capitalize on his mistakes.

Carolina- the Falcons shutout the Raiders & are not
nearly as formidable as the Panthers.

Miami- will stuff the run forcing Seahawks Seneca
Wallace
to throw often creating turnover possibilities.

Good Bet: San Diego vs. Chiefs


Unfavorable:

Minnesota-
the Packers strength stacks up well vs.
the weakness in the Vikings defense. Rodgers & co.
will exploit Minnesota's secondary.

New England- faces a Bills offense that has a great
deal to prove. Trent Edwards will be able to exploit
a Patriots backline that allows 7.5 ypa and has yielded
13 TD's over the top.

Pittsburgh-
faces Manning and the Colts who have
limited turnovers all season. Manning will get the ball
out of his hands quickly reducing sack opportunities.

Bad Bet: San Francisco vs. Cards, Buffalo vs. Patriots



Van Winkles: (deep sleepers)

Shaun Hill-
is a serviceable backup who should be able
to take advantage of an Arizona
defense that has given
7.2 ypa and a league high 16 TD's.


Le'Ron McClain- Rice & McGahee have been limited in
practice due to injuries leaving open the possibility that

McClain
will get extra carries to augment his goal line
work.


Kevin Smith- faces a Jacksonville defense that allows
4.5 ypc and may be without DT
John Henderson.

Roscoe Parrish- has a solid matchup vs. a soft Patriots
secondary that yields 7.5 ypa. Lee Evans will get doubled
giving Parrish ample opportunity to shine.

Josh Morgan- the rookie dropped a pass in Singletary's
debut as 49ers head coach and was disciplined by having
limited snaps. The week prior Morgan had a big game vs
the Giants and should replicate that performance against
the Cards.

No He Didn't:

Seneca Wallace-
faces a Dolphins defense that will shut
down the Seahawks running game. Wallace may have to
throw 35+ times in this one and could post 12+ points.


All Done!

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