Sunday, November 2, 2008

Fantasy Football Player's Edge

November 2, 2008


Tomorrow:
Sunday Recap


Crunch Time: (updated periodically until 1pm EST)

Alert: Steven Jackson is active & will start vs. the
Cards.


Tim Hightower gets the start vs. the Rams and is
playable if you need a #2 RB.

Willie Parker practiced on Saturday & will probably
share touches with Mewelde Moore on Monday vs.
the Redskins. It might be wise to explore other RB
options until Parker gets a game under his belt.

LaMont Jordan and Sammy Morris are out which
leaves Kevin Faulk as the feature back. He's only a
fair spot play with heat seeking missile Bob Sanders
returning to the Colts.

Warrick Dunn
is out and being replaced by Michael
Bennett. Earnest Graham
will get the start for the
Bucs
vs. a soft Chiefs run defense and should be a
solid play. The only caveat is that the Bucs are not
dressing a fullback so they may use Graham in that
capacity in some sets.

Donte Stallworth is inactive vs. the Ravens leaving
Braylon Edwards double teamed all day.

Santana Moss tested his sore hamstring by running
straight ahead. He did not try to make any cuts and
is going to be a game time decision on Monday night.
He intends to play but is a risky start even if active.

Reggie Wayne is questionable for the Patriots on
Sunday night but insists that he'll play.

Jason Witten is a gametime decision against the G-
Men.
Make sure that you have a standby TE as it's
very questionable that he'll play.


It's in the Stars:

Luminous:
(5 Stars)

QB:
D. McNabb
M. Schaub
K. Warner
P. Manning

RB:
M. Forte
A. Peterson
B. Westbrook
E. Graham

WR:
An. Johnson
L. Fitzgerald
A. Boldin
B. Marshall
R. White
R. Wayne

TE:
Da. Clark

K:
R. Gould
N. Rackers
J. Brown
M. Prater

DEF:
Baltimore
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Chicago

Glowing:
(4 Stars)

QB:
K. Orton
G. Frerotte
J. Cutler
C. Pennington
M. Bulger

RB:
L. White
Chr. Johnson
W. McGahee
S. Jackson
T. Hightower
R. Brown
M. Turner
J. Fargas
J. Addai
D. Rhodes

WR:
J. Galloway
D. Hester
B. Lloyd
L. Evans
K. Walter
B. Berrian
D. Avery
G. Camarillo
T. Ginn Jr.
E. Royal
B. Stokely
K. Curtis
De. Jackson
Re. Brown
A. Gonzalez

TE:
T. Gonzalez
G. Olsen
O. Daniels
V. Shiancoe
A. Fasano
T. Scheffler
Z. Miller

K:
R. Lindell
K. Brown
R. Longwell
D. Anderson
J. Elam
S. Janikowski
A. Vinatieri
S. Gostkowski

DEF:

Pittsburgh
Tennessee

Bright:
(3 Stars)

QB:
A. Rodgers
J. Garcia
T. Edwards
B. Favre
D. Garrard
M. Ryan
J. Russell
E. Manning
M. Cassel
B. Roethlisberger

RB:
R. Rice
L. McClain
M. Jones-Drew
C. Benson
E. James
Ri. Williams
M. Barber
B. Jacobs
K. Faulk
M. Lynch
C. Portis

WR:
G. Jennings
D. Mason
Ca. Johnson
L. Coles
J. Cotchery
Ma. Jones
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Ch. Johnson
B. Wade
T. Holt
C. Schilens
J. Walker
T. Owens
Ro. Williams
P. Burress
R. Moss
W. Welker
M. Harrison
N. Washington
An. Bryant

TE:
J. Stevens
T. Heap
De. Clark
R. Royal
M. Lewis
J. Witten
B. Watson
Al. Smith

K:
S. Graham
D. Akers
M. Stover
J. Feely
J. Scobee
J. Carney
M. Bryant
N. Folk
R. Bironas

DEF:

Dallas
New York Giants
Jacksonville
Green Bay
Cleveland
Buffalo
New York Jets
Atlanta
Washington

Diminished: (2 Stars)

QB:
J. Flacco
D. Anderson
D. Orlovsky
R. Fitzgerald
J. Campbell
K. Collins

RB:
W. Parker
M. Moore

R. Grant
J. Lewis
T. Jones
S. Slaton
M. Pittman
R. Torain

WR:
D. Driver
J. Gage
D. Bowe
B. Edwards
S. McDonald
P. Crayton
A. Toomer
H. Ward
S. Holmes
S. Moss
A. Randle El
S. Smith
(NYG)

TE:
D. Lee
B. Scaife
K. Winslow
Ma. Bennett
K. Boss
J. Carlson
H. Miller
C. Cooley
B. Celek
M. Schobel

K:
M. Crosby
P. Dawson
J. Hanson
O. Mare
J. Reed
S. Suisham

DEF:

Houston
Miami
Seattle
Cincinnati
Minnesota
Arizona
Denver
Oakland
Indianapolis
New England

Dull: (1 Star)

QB:
S. Wallace
T. Thigpen
B. Johnson

RB:
Ko. Smith
Ke. Smith
Ru. Johnson
Ju. Jones
Mo. Morris

WR:
B. Engram

TE:
J. Peelle
B. Utecht

K:
C. Barth

DEF:

Kansas City
Detroit
St. Louis



Start/Sit: (Week 9)

1. QB's: Matchups

The Standard: 300 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int = 20 points

Favorable:

Kyle Orton-
worked over the Lions secondary in week
5
by throwing for 334 yards and 2 scores at Ford Field.
If the weather cooperates Orton is likely to approximate
that performance.

Donovan McNabb- has been on the precipice of having
a
breakout performance. The Seattle pass defense has
allowed 7.5 ypa and yielded 11 scores in 7 games. Curtis,
Jackson and Brown should have plenty of open looks.
Westbrook will play a major role in the passing game.

Marc Bulger- will have to throw early and often to keep
pace with
Warner and Co. Arizona's backline has been
generous allowing 7.5 ypa and a league leading 14 TD's.
Fasten your seat belts.

Good Bet: Warner vs. Rams, Cutler vs. Dolphins
Pennington
vs. Broncos, P. Manning vs. Patriots
Ryan
vs. Raiders, Garcia vs. Chiefs

Unfavorable:

Jason Campbell-
has the unenviable task of throwing
vs. the Steelers defense which allows a league stingiest
4.8 ypa.

Derek Anderson- has played better recently but faces
a
Ravens secondary that is getting healthier. Even with
backup players at cornerback
Baltimore yields only 5.9
ypa.

Aaron Rodgers- has been a must start all season but
will face a
Titans secondary that has allowed 5.2 ypa &
only 3 TD's on the season. He's playable but a bit risky.

Bad Bet: Collins vs. Packers, Orlovsky vs. Bears
Thigpen
vs. Bucs


2. RB's: Matchups
(starting a #2)

The Standard:
110 yards rush, 30 yards rec, 1 TD = 20 pts

Favorable:

Michael Turner- has had his best games vs. permissive
run defenses such as the Raiders, which has allowed 4.5
ypc & 11 rushing TD's on the season.

Matt Forte- has been surprisingly consistent all season
regardless of the opponent. He faces the Lions front 7
which has been gouged for 4.7 ypc and 9 TD's.

Willis McGahee- has a good matchup vs. the Browns
rush defense which allows 4.7 ypc. The Ravens will seek
to control the clock with McGahee and Ray Rice.

Good Bet: Ch. Johnson vs. Packers, Dunn vs. Chiefs
White
vs. Packers, Graham vs. Chiefs


Unfavorable:
(sitting a #2)

Jamal Lewis- the Ravens defense has been ravenous
stonewalling RB's allowing a league best 2.8 ypc & 1 TD.

Steve Slaton- has a bad matchup vs. the Vikings rush
defense which holds RB's to 2.9 ypc. He may have some
chances in the passing game but is a risky play.

Marshawn Lynch- faces a Jets interior defense which
has been stout vs. the run allowing only 3.2 ypc.

Bad Bet: Grant vs. Titans, Portis vs. Steelers
Ko. Smith
vs. Bucs, Ke. Smith vs. Bears


3. WR's: Matchups

The Standard: 80 yards, 1 TD = 14 points

Favorable:
(starting a #3)

Joey Galloway- needed last week's action to shake off
a season of inactivity and faces a Chiefs secondary that
has been targeted all year allowing a generous 7.5 ypa.

Steve Breaston- the Rams secondary has not limited
any passing offenses this season much less one like the
Cardinals high powered aerial circus.

Eddie Royal- the Dolphins backline has been abused
consistently yielding 7.8 ypa.

Good Bet: Ginn vs. Broncos, Berrian vs. Texans,
Houshmandzadeh
vs. Jaguars, Avery vs. Cards
Curtis
vs. Seahawks, Gonzalez vs. Patriots

Unfavorable: (sitting a #3)

Donald Driver- faces a Titans secondary that limited
Wayne, Gonzalez and Harrison to 68 total yards.

Dwayne Bowe- will have to earn his keep against a solid
Bucs secondary that has allowed only 5.8 ypa. They will
harass Thigpen into a lot of checkdowns to Gonzalez &
Kolby Smith.

Hines Ward- faces a secondary that excels in coverage.
The Redskins pass defense yields a paltry 5.7 ypa with
only 10 sacks on the season. Ward will face tight man to
man schemes underneath forcing Roethlisberger to look
elsewhere.

Bad Bet: S. Moss vs. Steelers, Stallworth vs. Ravens
Gage
vs. Packers


4. TE's: Matchups

The Standard- 40 yards, .3 TD = 6 points

Favorable:

Greg Olsen-
returns from a bye to face the Lions. That
is the NFL's equivalent to Christmas morning.

Tony Scheffler- was out with a groin injury prior to the
Broncos bye week. He has a nice matchup vs. Miami if
he's healthy.

Anthony Fasano- the Broncos offer little resistance on
defense and have lost Champ Bailey.

Good Bet: Al. Smith vs. Chiefs, Da. Clark vs. Patriots
L.J. Smith
vs. Seahawks, Shiancoe vs. Texans


Unfavorable:

Kellen Winslow-
will struggle vs. Ed Reed and the rest
of his Ravens buddies.

Bo Scaife-
the Packers will lock down on Collins primary
target.

Chris Cooley- the Steelers have the best pass defense in
football and will make life miserable for all of the Redskins
skill players.

Bad Bet: Lee vs. Titans, H. Miller vs. Redskins


5. K's: Matchups

The Standard- 2 FG's, 1/40+, 3 Pat's = 10 points

Favorable:

Josh Brown-
has kicked well all season and the Rams
are starting to jell on offense. Expect the Cardinals to
score often which will force the Rams follow suit.

Matt Prater- has the best leg in football and kicks in
Mile High this week vs. the Dolphins.

Robbie Gould- should have plenty of opportunities as
the Bears move the ball at will vs. the Lions.

Good Bet: Bryant vs. Chiefs, K. Brown vs. Vikings
Rackers
vs. Rams, Vinatieri vs. Patriots


Unfavorable:

Mason Crosby-
the Titans defense is stingy yielding
a league best 12.4 ppg.

Jeff Reed- the Steelers/Redskins brawl on Monday
night shapes up to be a hard hitting, low scoring affair.

Shaun Suisham- will not get many chances vs. the
Steelers.

Bad Bet: Hansen vs. Bears, Barth vs. Bucs


6. DEF's: Matchups

The Standard- 13 points allowed, 3 turnovers, 2 sacks = 12 pts

Favorable:

Tampa Bay-
faces a young QB in Thigpen who does
not have a strong running game to keep this aggressive
defense honest.

Chicago- will be at full strength welcoming back CB's
Nathan Vasher and Charles Tillman. The Lions are
simply over matched at every position.

Philadelphia- Jim Johnson's blitzing defense will
create confusion for Seahawks QB Seneca Wallace.
Seattle's
running game will be thwarted which should
cause the young signal caller to make mistakes in the
passing game.


Good Bet: Baltimore vs. Browns, Pittsburgh vs. Redskins


Unfavorable:

Minnesota-
the Texans strength stacks up well vs.
the weakness in the Vikings defense. Schaub and co.
will exploit Minnesota's secondary.

New England- faces a Colts offense that has a great
deal to prove. Peyton Manning should have his best
game of the season vs. a Patriots backline that allows
7.3 ypa and has yielded 11 TD's over the top.

Washington-
Roethlisberger will throw deep as the
Redskins have had trouble applying pressure on QB's.
As long as the Steelers protect the ball Washington
will have problems scoring points without sacks in what
should be a low scoring game.

Bad Bet: Indianapolis vs. Patriots



Van Winkles: (deep sleepers)

Gus Frerotte-
it will be ugly but look for Frerotte to
capitalize on a Houston secondary that allows 7.6 ypa.
The Texans will have to deploy a safety to help control
Peterson at the point of attack opening passing lanes
for Berrian and Wade.


Justin Fargas- was an effective running back late last
season. McFadden is likely out with multiple turf toe
injuries allowing Justin to receive the bulk of the totes
vs a Falcons defense which has yielded a generous 4.7
ypc.

Ricky Williams- Sparano suggests that Williams will
be getting additional carries against the Broncos. The
Denver run defense is awful allowing a staggering 5.4
ypc.

Tim Hightower- is very close to unseating Edgerrin
James
as the Cards feature back. The Rams defense
will offer little resistance with a leaky 4.8 ypc.

Greg Camarillo- the Broncos will be focused on Ted
Ginn Jr.
and the Dolphins running game. Camarillo
should get plenty of targets.


No He Didn't:

Ryan Fitzpatrick-
the Jaguars defense has been kind
to QB's all season allowing 7.2 ypa and 12 touchdowns.
Fitzpatrick is playable only as a last resort but he could
actually provide a surprise to the upside.


All Done!

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