Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Fantasy Football Player's Edge

November 19, 2008

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Start/Sit: (Week 12)

1. QB's: Matchups

The Standard: 300 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int = 20 points

Favorable:

Jason Campbell-
has been underachieving of late but has
a favorable opponent in the
Seahawks which have allowed
7.5 ypa and 15 TD's.


Kyle Orton- has the perfect bounce back matchup vs. the
Rams
whose secondary is porous allowing 8.4 ypa and 15
TD's


Matt Cassel- has the perfect storm. He's white hot, faces
a defense that stops the run & is soft against the pass. The
Dolphins
have yielded 7.0 ypa and 12 TD's.

Good Bet: Garcia vs. Lions, Edwards vs. Chiefs
Pennington
vs. Patriots, Quinn vs. Texans
Frerotte vs. Jaguars


Unfavorable:

Brett Favre-
the Titans are stingy allowing only 5.2 ypa
and just 5 aerial TD's. Favre is prone to lose patience and
could force the action resulting in turnovers.

Matt Hasselbeck- runs into a stout coverage secondary.
The Redskins frustrate opposing QB's yielding 5.9 ypa.

Joe Flacco- this young gun will face intense pressure from
the
Eagles which hold enemy signal callers to 5.9 ypa with
36 sacks in 10 games.


Bad Bet: Brees vs. Packers, Ryan vs. Panthers
Culpepper
vs. Bucs, Warner vs. Giants,
Hill vs Cowboys


2. RB's: Matchups
(starting a #2)

The Standard:
110 yards rush, 30 yards rec, 1 TD = 20 pts

Favorable:

Justin Fargas- has a favorable matchup vs. Denver
which yields an abysmal 4.9 ypc.

Warrick Dunn- will be the featured back as Earnest
Graham
may be done for the year with an ankle injury.
The Lions are an awful defense giving 5.1 ypc & 17 TD's


D'Angelo Williams- runs against a Falcons interior
defense which has granted 4.9 ypc and 11 TD's.

Good Bet: Lynch vs. Chiefs, Lewis vs. Texans
Slaton vs. Browns,
Forte vs. Rams


Unfavorable:
(sitting a #2)

Maurice Jones-Drew- has the unenviable task of facing
the great wall of Minnesota. He becomes a must start if
Kevin and Pat Williams are suspended this week for
using a banned substance. Otherwise, not so much.

Chris Johnson- the Jets stop the run. They allow only
3.2 ypc with just 7 TD's.

Willis McGahee- will find tough running vs. the Eagles
front 7 which yields 3.6 ypc & only 5 TD's. Ray Rice will

suffer the same fate if he has to play for McGahee who
has a sore ankle.

Bad Bet: Benson vs. Steelers, J. Jones vs. Redskins
Westbrook
vs. Ravens, S. Jackson vs. Bears


3. WR's: Matchups

The Standard: 80 yards, 1 TD = 14 points

Favorable:
(starting a #3)

Lee Evans- should have a bounce back effort against a
soft
Chiefs secondary. He was shutout by the Browns.

Santana Moss- has a great matchup vs the Seahawks
which allow 7.5 ypa.

Antonio Bryant- has replaced Joey Galloway as the
Bucs #1 and faces a weak Lions defense.

Good Bet: Walter vs. Browns, Berrian vs. Jaguars,
Ginn vs. Patriots, Lloyd vs. Rams


Unfavorable: (sitting a #3)

Jerricho Cotchery- is likely to disappear vs. the Titans.

Chad Johnson- the Steelers will smother Ocho Cinco.

Lance Moore- will have to savor last week's performance
vs. the Chiefs as the Packers pass defense is world class.

Bad Bet: Coles vs. Titans, Branch vs. Redskins
Bruce
vs. Cowboys, Jenkins vs. Panthers


4. TE's: Matchups

The Standard- 40 yards, .3 TD = 6 points

Favorable:

Greg Olsen-
Orton will air it out vs. the Rams with Olsen
being a primary target.

Owen Daniels- will awaken from a 2 game hibernation vs
the Browns.

Zach Miller- likely to have a major role in an awful Raiders
offense against a generous Broncos pass defense.

Good Bet: Royal vs. Chiefs, Stevens vs. Lions
Cooley
vs. Seahawks


Unfavorable:

L.J. Smith-
will struggle against Ed Reed & the rest of his
Ravens
buddies.

Jeremy Shockey-
the Packers overall pass defense is 2nd
only to the Steelers.

Dustin Keller- will be marked by the Titans after having
2 big games in a row for the Jets.

Bad Bet: V. Davis vs. Cowboys, Carlson vs. Redskins
Heap
vs. Eagles


5. K's: Matchups

The Standard- 2 FG's, 1/40+, 3 Pat's = 10 points

Favorable:

Adam Vinatieri-
the Colts offense will score early and
often vs. the Chargers.

Matt Prater- has the strongest leg in football & kicks at
home vs. the Raiders.

Robbie Gould- should have plenty of opportunities as
the Bears move the ball at will vs. the Rams.

Good Bet: Bryant vs. Lions, Crosby vs. Saints


Unfavorable:

Jay Feely-
the Tennessee defense is unyielding allowing a
league best 13.1 ppg.

Shayne Graham- the Bengals will be hitting a stone wall
vs. the Steelers.

Matt Stover- will not get many chances against the Eagles.

Bad Bet: Nedney vs. Cowboys, Scobee vs. Vikings


6. DEF's: Matchups

The Standard- 13 points allowed, 3 turnovers, 2 sacks = 12 pts

Favorable:

Philadelphia-
will take out last week's frustration vs.
the Bengals on the Flacco and the Ravens.

Tampa Bay- faces a Lions team that is dreadful. The
Bucs
should be able to control the line of scrimmage on
both sides of the ball.

Pittsburgh- should dominate an overmanned Bengals
squad.

Good Bet: Chicago vs. Rams, Washington vs. Seahawks


Unfavorable:

Miami-
the New England offense has been improving
week over week. The Patriots should find the Dolphins
secondary quite accomodating.

San Diego- Peyton Manning doesn't take sacks and is
careful with the ball. The Colts offense is gearing up.

Baltimore-
McNabb will take a great deal of heat for a
sloppy performance in Cincinnati. He is likely to play
well against a solid defense that was demoralized by the
Giants.


Bad Bet: New Orleans vs. Packers, Giants vs. Cards



Notes from the Edge: (November 18th)

Matt Cassel
continues to improve and has a solid matchup
on Sunday vs. the Dolphins.

Thomas Jones will come back to earth against the Titans.

Peyton Hillis had a memorable start at tailback but will be
relegated to goal line touches when Selvin Young returns
and Tatum Bell gets up to speed.

Michael Jenkins performances may stagnate as opposing
defenses mark him.

Joseph Addai is back in stride leaving Dominic Rhodes
with the crumbs.

Marvin Harrison displayed flashes of his former brilliance.
He faces another good opponent in the Chargers.

Steve Slaton is dynamite when the matchup is favorable
but will yield at the goal line to Ahman Green. He faces
a Cleveland run defense which yields a generous 4.7 ypc.

Please drop the "Edge" a line if you locate Owen Daniels.
Actually he's likely to emerge this week vs. the Browns.

Ted Ginn Jr. is a veritable yo-yo. The ups & downs make
him a risky play as a #3. He has a soft Patriots backline
upcoming which has yielded 7.2 ypa and 16 aerial TD's.

The Ronnie Brown/Ricky Williams combo is tough to
sort out week over week and should be avoided if possible.

Justin Fargas is a good back & playable vs. the Broncos.
Darren McFadden may also be usable but only if he has
at least a full practice on Thursday or Friday.

Ronald Curry is out of the doghouse & would be a fair #3
if Champ Bailey is still sidelined.

Only an injury could stop Brandon Jacobs. He bruised a
knee against the Ravens.

Plaxico Burress may actually have a decent game vs. the
Cards.

Willis McGahee twisted an ankle. Ray Rice is a nice add
although he would have a tough start vs. the Eagles.

Joe Flacco continues to play well & can be added for depth
at QB but is not likely to fare well vs. Philadelphia.

D'Angelo Williams has become a must start & has another
soft touch in the Falcons which allow a staggering 4.9 ypc.

Jake Delhomme seems to have lost his way. Unfortunately
he's taken Steve Smith with him.

Daunte Culpepper has good matchups in weeks 14 & 16.
He's serviceable if your starter at QB has a tough opponent
in either of those weeks.

Kevin Smith has become a playable #2 RB but the Bucs
loom on the horizon and sport a solid run defense that has
allowed only 1 rushing TD all season.

Donovan McNabb spoke out about the team stepping up
to meet the upcoming challenges then proceeded to play
an awful game. What ever happened to leading by example.

Brian Westbrook is simply not himself. He claims to be
fine but is more likely dealing with various injuries.

T.J. Houshmandzadeh had a coming out party against
a very good Eagles secondary. He's a must play the rest
of the way.

Cedric Benson had 29 touches vs. Philadelphia. He's
playable in the right situation but not vs. the Steelers.

Ryan Grant has turned the corner as he overwhelmed a
solid Bears interior defense.

Kyle Orton is likely to have a bounce back outing vs. the
Rams.

Devin Hester has completely fallen from grace as he was
replaced on kickoff returns in the 4th quarter by Danieal
Manning. He'll probably get this job back but should not
be on any rosters.

Pierre Thomas was featured vs. the Chiefs indicating
that the Saints are anticipating that Deuce McAllister
will be suspended. Reggie Bush should return this week
but Thomas has value as a #2 RB when the opponent is
favorable. He's a reasonable play vs. the Packers.

Larry Johnson's return to action was disappointing as he
was unable to score at the goal line on 2 separate drives.
With that said, he was featured and needed this game to
get in shape. He has a good test vs. a solid Bills defense
which only allows 3.7 ypc.

Tyler Thigpen may have secured the Chiefs QB gig
even after Brodie Croyle returns to action. Dwayne
Bowe
has been the primary beneficiary of Thigpen's
emergence at the position.

Jeff Garcia is frenetic on the field but serviceable. The
hapless Lions are next on the list.

Earnest Graham may be done for the season with an
ankle injury. Warrick Dunn gets a solid upgrade to a
#2 vs. Detroit. Cadillac Williams might even get a
tote or 2.

Joey Galloway has lost his job to Antonio Bryant &
holds no value.

Gus Frerotte is playable vs. the Jaguars but should
not be a first option.

Shaun Hill has been charged with Rams abuse. He's
likely to have the tables turned vs. the Cowboys.

Isaac Bruce has been minimized in the Martz offense.
Bryant Johnson or a healthy Josh Morgan are better
49ers receiver options.

Marc Bulger, Torry Holt and Donnie Avery are hit
and miss but mostly miss. All of these guys are starts
of last resort.

Antonio Pittman was impressive filling in for Steven
Jackson
against a solid 49ers run defense. He's likely
to start again vs. the Bears & is not a preferred play.

Tim Hightower owners have to be disappointed & are
likely to be underwhelmed again as he faces the Giants.

Matt Hasselbeck may have suffered a concussion in
the Cardinals game. He'll need all of his faculties vs
the Redskins.

Deion Branch returned to action successfully & built
immediate rapport with Hasselbeck. The Redskins
are stingy in the secondary which will impact Deion's
production. He has great matchups in week 15 and 16
vs. the Rams and Jets.

Kerry Collins had another great day of throwing the
football connecting with Justin Gage on 2 scores. The
Titans are going to be hard to beat if that continues.

David Garrard felt the wrath of a tenacious Titans
defense. He'll bounceback against the Vikings.

Willie Parker was rock solid with the ball rendering
Mewelde Moore
virtually useless. If Parker comes
out of this game healthy Moore becomes expendable,
if you need help elsewhere.

Philip Rivers, Antonio Gates, Chris Chambers &
Vincent Jackson would agree that the Steelers pass
defense is awesome.

Tony Romo really needed Sunday night's game to
get back up to speed. He's likely to return to form vs.
the 49ers which have allowed 15 passing TD's.

Terrell Owens is likely to benefit the most from the
return of Romo. Keep Owens active.

Clinton Portis ran with abandon vs. the Cowboys.
So much for all the rhetoric that had Portis out with
a serious knee issue.

Jason Campbell has been underachieving of late
but may rise to prominence against the Seahawks.


Quick Picks: (free agents to acquire)
M. Cassel
D. Culpepper
P. Thomas
C. Benson
J. Gage
D. Branch

Castaways: (waiver candidates)
D. McAllister
J. Jones
D. Hester
I. Bruce

Hard Knocks: (injury notes)
M. Hasselbeck- head
C. Pennington- foot
E. Graham- ankle
B. Jacobs- knee
W. McGahee- ankle
C. Perry- head
L. Betts- knee
P. Hillis- shoulder
De. Jackson- unknown
N. Asomugha- hand
O. Pace- knee


All Done!

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